Before You Buy Bitcoin, Read This
The exact windows I'm waiting to buy
No, Crypto is not at the bottom yet.
No, you don’t need to buy Bitcoin, XRP, or your favorite altcoin today.
Yes, we’re most likely going lower.
If you’re in a hurry, you’ve already read the most important part of this article.
But if you want to know exactly when I’m planning to deploy serious money into Crypto, keep reading.
Bottom of the 3-Day Cycle
When? 6th-10th of August
Normally, I keep my highest conviction ideas inside the paid membership.
Not this time.
We’re approaching a temporary bottom this week as both the 1-Day and 3-Day Cycle indicators reach exhaustion. If that happens, I expect a relief rally that could carry us well into September.
For the first time, this bottom also has a chance of becoming the ultimate bottom of the entire 4-Year Cycle.
Is that my base case?
No.
The probabilities still favor one more leg lower.
But we’re entering a timing window where opening Spot positions starts becoming very attractive.
To be clear, I don’t believe this is the final bottom because both the 1-Week and 2-Week Cycles still need more time.
However...
There’s already a realistic chance that the October bottom forms at roughly the same price.
If that happens, buying the upcoming 60-Day Cycle weakness becomes a very attractive trade.
I don't get it. So... when do I buy?
Look at the pink line at the bottom of the chart.
It represents the market’s mid-term cycle.
During bear markets, the 3-Day Cycle becomes incredibly accurate because price tends to respect it with almost surgical precision.
Every major bottom this year...
June 5
April 4
February 6
December 31
November 21
...lined up almost perfectly with the 3-Day Cycle bottom.
In other words...
If you had ignored everything else and simply bought Bitcoin every time the 3-Day Cycle dropped below 15, and especially below 10, your win rate would have been 100%.
That’s how powerful this indicator has been.
It’s now been almost two months since the last signal.
Within days, it should bottom again.
I’m not telling you to buy.
I’m telling you that’s when I’ll be buying.
Bottom of the 1-Week Cycle
When? Early to mid October
If you’ve been following my previous articles, you already know that the 1-Week Cycle is the single most important indicator I use for Crypto.
It tells us whether the market is becoming deeply oversold or dangerously overbought.
The rules are simple.
Below 20? Buy retracements.
Rising? Stay bullish.
Above 80? Start thinking about taking profits.
Falling from high levels? Look for short opportunities.
Right now, the message couldn’t be clearer.
Buy the retracements.
The bigger trend still points higher.
Wait... are we actually going back to $70k?
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