Crypto too volatile? Have you tried... Sugar?
Let’s apply Cycle Strategy to some surprisingly profitable markets
If you've been investing in crypto over the last 30 days, you probably went from heart attack to euphoria—and right back to heart attack.
The truth is, the market is so volatile that sometimes it's tough to hold your position.
When it drops 30%, you hold and pray just to break even, promising yourself that next time you'll be more careful.
I’ve been through this cycle more times than I can count—until I finally came up with some solid risk management rules.
But today, I want to introduce you to some alternative, more grounded (and honestly more fun) financial assets that can bring in 20–50% yearly returns, with far less volatility than crypto.
1. Sugar
Sugar moves in 7-year cycles (yes, seven years), which might feel like an eternity to us crypto investors.
BUT, guess what the average returns from Sugar cycles have been?
There have been three major cycles in the past 22 years. The first, starting in 2003 and ending in 2010, returned 5x as the price of sugar rose from $6 to a peak of $30.
Then came a quick bottom, a left-translated cycle with a spike from $14 to $34, followed by a long bearish phase lasting until 2018. In the current cycle, Sugar topped at $27 and is now hunting for a generational low near ~$15.
Just looking at the price alone might not give you a trading edge, but when you apply Cycle Indicators and buy only when the 2-Week and 1-Week Cycle Indicators align at the bottom (below 20), you’re almost guaranteed the best entry.
Buying at the start of a 7-year cycle can give you a 20–30% return in the first 1-Week Cycle alone.
Not even all crypto gives you 20% in 2 months, right?
2. Cocoa
Cocoa is one of those commodities everyone loves, but few actually trade.
Here’s the kicker: the last Cocoa cycle exploded, delivering nearly 6x returns in just 2 years. It was the only asset that performed on par with Bitcoin, minus the chop.
I’ll admit—I started trading commodities only recently, but now I’m eyeing a potential bottom in Cocoa toward the end of this year.
If you had bought at the 2-Week Cycle lows at the beginning of the 3-Year Cycle and held to the 2-Week Cycle top, you could’ve made at least 25%—and even 59% in the most recent one!
After seeing those charts… are you really still bullish on Cardano?
3. Coffee
Coffee moves in 3-year cycles, typically spending the first two years trending up, and the final year correcting with a higher low.
We’re expecting a major bottom in 2026, so now is not the best time to buy Coffee contracts. There may be a short-term push up due to Cycle lows, but I expect a reversal later this year before we hit that true bottom.
The best part? Coffee has had only three failed 2-Week Cycles, where prices dropped faster than expected and formed local bottoms. In other words, it’s one of the safest commodity assets to trade. It has nearly tripled in value during its last two cycles.
3. Soy Beans
Soybeans tend to follow 2-to-3-year cycles, driven mostly by seasonality.
But here’s where it gets interesting: entering at 1-month Cycle lows has been incredibly profitable. Soybean contracts often skyrocket at the start of a new cycle, offering 15–20% gains in the first year, especially in right-translated cycles.
Right now, soybeans offer a compelling “shorting” opportunity for the rest of the year. The next cycle low should land around Q2 2026, and all Cycle Indicators point to a left-translated cycle this time.
The goal of this article is simple: to show you that crypto isn’t the only hot market out there.
Markets like Coffee, Sugar, Cocoa, or Soybeans offer equally exciting opportunities, often with smaller drawdowns and higher win rates when you apply higher-timeframe Cycle Indicators.
"Okay, Master, food’s an investment now, but what about Ethereum?"
Absolutely. Here's what to expect next for Ethereum:
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