Stop hoping for $90k

How to trade Cycles and stay profitable in a bear market

If you are holding crypto and hoping Bitcoin bounces to $90k just to break even, this article is for you.

You will learn proper risk management and how to immediately apply plug-and-play strategies that have historically delivered over 100% per year with just a few trades annually.

And yes, even I, the person who created and fully understands these strategies, sometimes go against them and pay the price.

The goal is not to blindly cut losses. The goal is to understand mistakes while they are happening and fix them in real time. Cutting a position without learning teaches you nothing.

Bonus: At the end, I will show you one token that does not follow Bitcoin cycles and has just printed what looks like a generational bottom.

Shall we start?

Bitcoin’s Weekly Cycles

Bitcoin’s Weekly Cycles

Bitcoin moves in clear Weekly Cycles, well represented by the red Cycle indicator at the bottom of the chart.

When this indicator drops below 20, price tends to move lower and eventually prints a local bottom.

When the indicator rises above 80, Bitcoin usually rallies and the market forms a local top.

Looking at this in hindsight is easy. Executing it in real time is not.

Yes, the indicator is always there, clearly showing you where you should be buying and where you should be selling. Yet the same thoughts appear every time:

“Maybe it goes a little higher?”
“Last time it ran another 15%, I won’t sell yet.”

This is where greed quietly takes over.

We understand the system. We trust the indicators. We convince ourselves that this time we can squeeze a bit more.

And waiting “just a little longer” can cost serious money.

Over the last four years, the average gain per Weekly Cycle has been roughly 40%. With 3-4 cycles per year, that is more than enough to double capital annually.

Master, what’s the problem?

The Problem(s)

Visualization of the last 2 Weekly Cycles for Bitcoin

When using Weekly Cycles, two major issues tend to appear:

1. Failed Weekly Cycles
   Sometimes the cycle rolls over without reaching the top of the channel, and price accelerates downward so fast that you have no clean exit opportunity.

2. Same-Week Reversals
   In rarer cases, the Weekly Cycle pushes above 80 and then reverses within the same candle, sending price sharply lower before you can react.

The worst part?

We experienced both scenarios in the last two Weekly Cycles.

Both cycles printed large upper wicks, reversed aggressively, and offered no proper exit. Many traders were left holding Spot or Long positions with no way out.

If we ignore wicks and focus only on opens and closes, where most real entries and exits occur, the last Weekly Cycle produced only an 8% move from bottom to top.

In eight years of trading crypto, I do not recall seeing this setup before. But markets evolve, and there is always a first time.

The good news?

There is a solution to both problems.

The Solution(s)