Timing the Final Low
Why this drop won't scare you
The crypto market is preparing for one last drop before it finally reverses upward.
We have been waiting for $70k Bitcoin and $2.5k Ethereum. The market clearly wants to give us these levels. But before that happens, it needs to shake out the final participants, the weak hands who are still hesitating.
But you have me. The Strategy Master who tells you not to fear this final move down.
Because March and April are set to bring back the green candles, before another potential drop in May.
Am I coming from the future?
How do I know this?
And why has price been stuck for three weeks?
The answer is simple:
Cycles.
Let’s break it down:
Why Is the Price Stuck?
To understand the sudden drop and why we are hovering just below $70,000, we need to look at what the four Cycle Indicators are telling us.
1-Day Cycle (dark blue line)
Currently pushing upward. This suggests price should rise at the beginning of the week, at least for a few days. If it does not rally, it should at minimum remain stable and avoid another immediate breakdown.
3-Day Cycle (pink line)
This cycle controls price action for two to three weeks. Since early February, it has been pointing higher. There is still some upside potential left before it rolls over.
1-Week Cycle (red line)
This cycle has been trending downward since mid-January. It drove Bitcoin from ~$90,000 to below $70,000. It is now entering its typical reversal zone, though it may need another week or two to fully bottom.
2-Week Cycle (electric blue line)
This is the long-term driver. It has been in a brutal downtrend since early August. Now it is forming what appears to be a final bottoming structure. Bitcoin has not spent this much time without a significant upside spike in a long period.
Historically, that compression leads to explosive bullish months ahead.
In simple terms:
The market wants one final low.
The 3-Day Cycle has been holding price up.
But even that support will likely fade within days.
Got it. What Does the “60” Blue Box Mean?
Bitcoin moves in 60-Day Cycles.
At the end of each cycle, it typically forms a local bottom. These bottoms are often volatile and are followed by strong reversals.
This current cycle is left-translated, meaning price fell below the previous cycle low from January 8th.
That tells us the market may continue to underperform until the next 60-Day low, expected in early March.
How do you know all that?
Markets move in patterns.
Everything happening now has happened before.
Not at the same price level, but within the same cycle structures.
Let’s look at July 2022:
Not every cycle bottom creates a new low.
Sometimes price simply retests the previous low and continues upward.
July 2022 resembles today for several reasons:
There was a massive liquidation event just weeks before the 60-Day bottom. Bitcoin fell nearly 44% in under two weeks. The same has happened recently. ✅
The 2-Week Cycle was bottoming while the 1-Week Cycle was preparing to reverse upward. Similar setup today. ✅
The 3-Day Cycle was rising and entering overbought territory but did not immediately reverse. ✅
Social sentiment was extremely low. Investors had lost hope and rotated into stocks and metals. We are seeing similar behavior now. ✅
The similarities are striking.
Master, are we going lower?
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